Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSassuolo to win ✓67% · @1.49
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Sassuolo vs Cesena preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Sassuolo take on Cesena on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Mapei Stadium.
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to FC Augsburg 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cesena's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Forli 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cesena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Sassuolo and 0.9 for Cesena. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sassuolo 67%, draw 21%, Cesena 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sassuolo to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Sassuolo 2–0 Cesena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo67%fair 1.49 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.33
Cesena12%fair 8.69 · @6.00
3.12Expected goals
2.25Sassuolo xG
0.87Cesena xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.3 – 0.9 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✓
67%
1.49
1.49
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 6
LLDWLL
8 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–4
L
31 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Padova
4–1
W
24 May
@ Parma
0–1
L
17 May
vs Lecce
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DWWLDD
8 Aug
@ Forli
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fossombrone
3–0
W
8 May
vs Padova
3–4
L
1 May
@ Carrarese
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Cesena.
Our pick is Sassuolo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Cesena?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cesena 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Cesena?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Cesena?
Sassuolo vs Cesena (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Mapei Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa1
Empoli1
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0