Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pisa to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPisa to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chancePisa or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Pisa vs Empoli preview and prediction
The match
Empoli travel to Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani in the Coppa Italia on Monday 17 August (17:00 WAT) to face Pisa.
Form guide
Pisa's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Bologna 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Empoli's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Livorno 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Pisa and 0.7 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pisa 64%, draw 23%, Empoli 13%.
Safer route: Pisa or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Pisa to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pisa or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pisa 1–0 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pisa64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.45
Empoli13%fair 7.81 · @3.90
2.47Expected goals
1.80Pisa xG
0.67Empoli xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.8 – 0.7 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✗
64%
1.56
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Pisa or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Pisa ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Pisa – last 6
WLDWLL
8 Aug
@ Bologna
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Juventus U23
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Pavia
6–1
W
17 May
vs Napoli
0–3
L
10 May
@ Cremonese
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
DDWDWL
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
8 May
@ Monza
2–2
D
1 May
vs Avellino
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Empoli.
Our pick is Pisa or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pisa vs Empoli?
On our numbers Pisa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Empoli 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–0 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Empoli?
Pisa vs Empoli (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0