League One · England · The Brick Community Stadium

Wigan vs Barnsley prediction & analysis

65%

Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultWigan to win44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.23

Win chances

Wigan44%fair 2.26 · @2.20

Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50

Barnsley35%fair 2.83 · @2.80

2.84Expected goals

1.52Wigan xG

1.32Barnsley xG

65%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Wigan 1.5 – 1.3 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Wigan hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Barnsley.

Wigan have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Barnsley have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Wigan, 1.3 for Barnsley). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 65%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Wigan have won 0, Barnsley have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wigan to win	44%	2.26	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win	80%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	65%	1.54	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.75	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.57	1.57
Half-time result	Level at half-time	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Wigan / FT Wigan	25%	4.02	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	11.23	–

Form

Wigan – last 6

WDWLLL

7 Nov	@ Boreham Wood	3–0	W
3 Nov	vs Mansfield Town	0–0	D
31 Oct	vs Bromley	3–2	W
27 Oct	@ Leicester	0–3	L
24 Oct	@ Huddersfield	1–2	L
20 Oct	@ Oxford United	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Barnsley – last 6

WDLLLL

7 Nov	vs Aldershot Town	7–2	W
31 Oct	vs Oxford United	1–1	D
24 Oct	@ Reading	1–2	L
20 Oct	@ Luton	1–2	L
17 Oct	vs Cambridge United	1–2	L
10 Oct	@ Stockport County	1–3	L

2.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026	Barnsley v Wigan	1–1
17 Mar 2026	Barnsley v Wigan	1–1

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

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