Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Leicester to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeicester to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceLeicester or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Leicester vs Stevenage preview and prediction
The match
Leicester host Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at King Power Stadium. Leicester are 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Stevenage sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leicester's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Wigan 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Stevenage's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Stevenage arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 October 2026, finished Stevenage 2–1 Leicester.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Leicester and 0.8 for Stevenage. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Leicester to win at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leicester or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leicester 1–0 Stevenage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leicester65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Stevenage13%fair 7.82 · @4.50
2.74Expected goals
1.97Leicester xG
0.77Stevenage xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Leicester 2.0 – 0.8 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leicester vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Leicester or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leicester vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Leicester have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stevenage 13%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Stevenage?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Stevenage?
Leicester vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
