League One · England · Weston Homes StadiumPeterborough vs Luton prediction & analysis
Luton to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Peterborough 1.1 – 2.1 Luton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Luton travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 20% for Peterborough.
Peterborough have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Luton have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Luton come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.1 for Peterborough, 2.1 for Luton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Peterborough have won 0, Luton have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Luton to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Luton to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Luton ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Luton / FT Luton ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.09 | – |
Form
Peterborough – last 6
| 27 Oct | @ Bradford | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Bromley | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Huddersfield | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Burton Albion | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Leicester | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Ipswich Town U21 | 4–1 | W |
Luton – last 6
| 27 Oct | vs Doncaster | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Leicester | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Barnsley | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Milton Keynes Dons | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Wycombe | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Colchester | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Luton v Peterborough | 2–1 |
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Luton?
Our pick is Luton to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
On our numbers Peterborough have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Luton 61%.
How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Luton?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Peterborough vs Luton?
Peterborough vs Luton (League One) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Weston Homes Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.