League One · England · One Call Stadium

Mansfield Town vs Notts County prediction & analysis

88%

Footrivo pick

Mansfield Town or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating

1.25Odds

Value bet: Mansfield Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMansfield Town to win ✗64% · @1.85

Double chanceMansfield Town or draw ✗88% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03

Win chances

Mansfield Town64%fair 1.56 · @1.85

Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50

Notts County12%fair 8.14 · @3.80

2.77Expected goals

1.99Mansfield Town xG

0.78Notts County xG

55%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

3–16%

From our goals model: Mansfield Town 2.0 – 0.8 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Mansfield Town are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Notts County.

Mansfield Town have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Notts County have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Mansfield Town, 0.8 for Notts County). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Mansfield Town or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Mansfield Town to win at 1.85 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mansfield Town to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Mansfield Town or draw ✗	88%	1.14	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.80	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Half-time result	Mansfield Town ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town ✗	42%	2.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.03	–

Form

Mansfield Town – last 6

WWDWLD

24 Oct	@ Blackpool	4–1	W
20 Oct	@ AFC Wimbledon	3–0	W
15 Oct	vs Oxford United	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs Bromley	2–1	W
6 Oct	@ Port Vale	0–2	L
19 Sep	@ Burton Albion	2–2	D

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Notts County – last 6

DWLWLW

24 Oct	vs Stockport County	1–1	D
20 Oct	vs Sheffield Wednesday	2–0	W
17 Oct	@ Wycombe	0–2	L
13 Oct	vs Nottingham Forest U21	5–1	W
10 Oct	vs Oxford United	1–2	L
22 Sep	vs Grimsby	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and Notts County.

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

More League One predictions

League hub

Bradford0

Huddersfield3 134%2.80X24%3.25242%2.38 GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.67 ✗

Leyton Orient3

Cambridge United0 137%2.60X24%3.25239%2.50 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.67 ✗

Plymouth0

Reading0 135%2.30X23%3.50242%2.75 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.44 ✗

Barnsley1

Oxford United1 136%2.50X20%3.60244%2.40 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.44 ✓

Leicester2

Stevenage2 165%1.65X22%4.00213%4.50 1XLeicester or draw 87%@1.20 ✓

Milton Keynes Dons6

Doncaster1 145%2.00X21%3.50235%3.30 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.55 ✓

Peterborough0

Luton2 120%3.30X19%3.80261%1.95 2Luton to win 61%@1.95 ✓

Stockport County2

AFC Wimbledon1 168%1.25X18%5.50214%9.50 1Stockport County to win 68%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

Our pick is Mansfield Town or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Notts County 12%.

How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Mansfield Town vs Notts County?

Mansfield Town vs Notts County (League One) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at One Call Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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Exact outcomes

Mansfield Town

Notts County