Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Doncaster to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStevenage to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Stevenage vs Doncaster preview and prediction
The match
Stevenage host Doncaster in the League One on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Lamex Stadium. Stevenage are 16th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Doncaster sit 20th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stevenage's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Reading 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Doncaster's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Stevenage arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Stevenage and 1.0 for Doncaster. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Doncaster to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stevenage45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Doncaster32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.23Expected goals
1.24Stevenage xG
0.99Doncaster xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.2 – 1.0 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.18
–
Form
Stevenage – last 6
LLDWWW
25 Aug
vs Reading
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Oxford United
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Burton Albion
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Wycombe
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Colchester
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Doncaster – last 6
LDLDLL
25 Aug
vs Middlesbrough
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Barnsley
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Stockport County
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Wolves
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Doncaster.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stevenage vs Doncaster?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Doncaster 32%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Doncaster?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Stevenage vs Doncaster (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
