Value bet: Bradford to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBradford to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Plymouth vs Bradford preview and prediction
The match
Plymouth host Bradford in the League One on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Home Park. Plymouth are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Bradford sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Plymouth's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Coventry 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Bradford's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Burnley 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bradford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Bradford 1–1 Plymouth.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Plymouth and 1.3 for Bradford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Bradford to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Plymouth 1–1 Bradford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plymouth37%fair 2.70 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Bradford40%fair 2.49 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.22Plymouth xG
1.29Bradford xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.2 – 1.3 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Plymouth vs Bradford?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bradford 40%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Bradford?
Plymouth vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
