Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Port Vale vs Rochdale preview and prediction
The match
Rochdale travel to Vale Park in the League Two on Saturday 31 October (13:30 WAT) to face Port Vale. Port Vale are 19th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rochdale sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Port Vale's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Manchester City U21 5–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rochdale's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Accrington ST 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Port Vale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Port Vale and 0.7 for Rochdale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Vale 59%, draw 24%, Rochdale 17%.
Safer route: Port Vale or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Port Vale to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Vale59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Rochdale17%fair 5.91 · @5.00
2.29Expected goals
1.59Port Vale xG
0.70Rochdale xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.6 – 0.7 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Double chance
Port Vale or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Port Vale – last 6
WLDWWW
27 Oct
vs Manchester City U21
5–0
W
24 Oct
@ York
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LDLDLW
24 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–5
L
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Tranmere
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Huddersfield
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Swindon Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Rochdale.
Our pick is Port Vale to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rochdale 17%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Port Vale vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
