League Two · England · The Wham StadiumAccrington ST vs Northampton prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Northampton to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.2 – 1.0 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Accrington ST hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Northampton.
Accrington ST have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Northampton have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Accrington ST come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Accrington ST, 1.0 for Northampton). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Northampton to win at 3.20 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Accrington ST to win ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST ✗ | 24% | 4.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.65 | – |
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Rochdale | 5–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Gillingham | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Oldham | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Salford City | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Cheltenham | 2–0 | W |
Northampton – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Colchester | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Grimsby | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Cambridge United | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rotherham | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Northampton.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Northampton 33%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Accrington ST vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.