League Two · England · The Croud MeadowShrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction & analysis
Shrewsbury or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 2.0 – 0.8 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shrewsbury are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Gillingham.
Shrewsbury have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Gillingham have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Shrewsbury, 0.8 for Gillingham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Shrewsbury or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Shrewsbury to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shrewsbury to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Shrewsbury or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Shrewsbury ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shrewsbury / FT Shrewsbury ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.18 | – |
Form
Shrewsbury – last 6
| 27 Oct | vs Everton U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Rotherham | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Crawley Town | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Exeter City | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Stockport County | 0–2 | L |
Gillingham – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Grimsby | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Port Vale | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Accrington ST | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Brighton U21 | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Rotherham | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Newport County | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Gillingham.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Shrewsbury or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gillingham 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.