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Today's tips
Cup · Russia · Arena Khimki

Rodina Moskva

DWWLL
1–4
FT

FC Orenburg

DDLLW

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.71 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.71Odds
1

Value bet: Rodina Moskva to win @ 2.51 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗46% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.54
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.71
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.43

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg preview and prediction

The match

Rodina Moskva host FC Orenburg in the Cup on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Arena Khimki.

Form guide

Rodina Moskva's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Akron 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

FC Orenburg's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.3 for Rodina Moskva and 1.9 for FC Orenburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.71, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva 2–1 FC Orenburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Rodina Moskva46%fair 2.16 · @2.51
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.56
FC Orenburg33%fair 3.03 · @2.78
4.21Expected goals
2.28Rodina Moskva xG
1.93FC Orenburg xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–17%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 2.3 – 1.9 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva to win ✗46%2.162.51 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.33 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.54 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.71 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.921.42
Half-time resultRodina Moskva ahead at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva ✗29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.43–

Form

Rodina Moskva – last 6

DWWLLL
15 Augvs Akron3–3D
9 Aug@ Zenit2–1W
4 Augvs Rubin5–0W
31 Julvs FC Rostov2–4L
25 Jul@ Spartak Moscow0–3L
2 Julvs Akron0–5L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

DDLLWW
14 Augvs Lokomotiv1–1D
9 Aug@ Rubin1–1D
5 Aug@ Spartak Moscow1–5L
2 Augvs Zenit0–3L
26 Julvs FC Rostov2–1W
11 Julvs CSKA Moscow2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and FC Orenburg.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT CSKA Moscow0 Akron1 164%1.52X18%4.65217%6.05 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Akhmat2 Fakel1 163%1.86X22%3.68215%4.35 1XAkhmat or draw 85%@1.24 ✓
FT FC Rostov1 Lokomotiv0 142%2.57X23%3.54235%2.72 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Orenburg 33%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 2–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.