Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 2.57 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Rostov to win ✓42% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv travel to Rostov Arena in the Cup on Tuesday 18 August (18:45 WAT) to face FC Rostov.
Form guide
FC Rostov's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Rubin 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lokomotiv's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with FC Orenburg 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Rostov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for FC Rostov and 1.5 for Lokomotiv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Rostov 42%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: FC Rostov to win at 2.57 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Rostov 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Rostov42%fair 2.36 · @2.57
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.54
Lokomotiv35%fair 2.88 · @2.72
3.10Expected goals
1.64FC Rostov xG
1.46Lokomotiv xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Rostov 1.6 – 1.5 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Rostov to win✓
42%
2.36
2.57 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Rostov / FT FC Rostov✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
FC Rostov – last 6
DDWWLW
15 Aug
vs Rubin
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
0–0
D
4 Aug
@ Akron
4–0
W
31 Jul
@ Rodina Moskva
4–2
W
26 Jul
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Fakel
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
DDDLDL
14 Aug
@ FC Orenburg
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Akron
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Rubin
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Rostov and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers FC Rostov have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSKA Moscow0
Akron1
Rodina Moskva1
FC Orenburg4
Akhmat2
Fakel1