Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65% · @1.34
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.80
Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Moscow host FC Orenburg in the Cup on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Lukoil Arena.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Akhmat 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Orenburg's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished FC Orenburg 0–2 Spartak Moscow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Spartak Moscow and 1.0 for FC Orenburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Moscow 65%, draw 20%, FC Orenburg 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Orenburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow65%fair 1.54 · @1.34
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @5.60
FC Orenburg15%fair 6.53 · @8.80
3.16Expected goals
2.19Spartak Moscow xG
0.97FC Orenburg xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.2 – 1.0 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Orenburg 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.