Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Cup · Russia · Lukoil Arena
5–1
FT

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65% · @1.34
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.80

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg preview and prediction

The match

Spartak Moscow host FC Orenburg in the Cup on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Lukoil Arena.

Form guide

Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Akhmat 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

FC Orenburg's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished FC Orenburg 0–2 Spartak Moscow.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Spartak Moscow and 1.0 for FC Orenburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Orenburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Spartak Moscow65%fair 1.54 · @1.34
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @5.60
FC Orenburg15%fair 6.53 · @8.80
3.16Expected goals
2.19Spartak Moscow xG
0.97FC Orenburg xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.2 – 1.0 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65%1.541.34
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.651.60
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.80–

Form

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WWDLDW
2 Aug@ Akhmat2–1W
25 Julvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
18 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
11 Jul@ Lokomotiv0–2L
8 Julvs Rubin0–0D
4 Julvs Krylia Sovetov3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

LWWLWL
2 Augvs Zenit0–3L
26 Julvs FC Rostov2–1W
11 Julvs CSKA Moscow2–0W
7 Jul@ Dynamo1–2L
3 Jul@ Rubin2–1W
25 Junvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026FC Orenburg v Spartak Moscow0–2
Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Orenburg 15%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.