Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗60% · @1.63
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees FC Krasnodar take on Akhmat on Wednesday 5 August, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Ozon Arena.
Form guide
FC Krasnodar's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Fakel 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Akhmat's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Krasnodar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for FC Krasnodar and 1.0 for Akhmat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Krasnodar 60%, draw 21%, Akhmat 19%.
Safer route: FC Krasnodar or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Krasnodar60%fair 1.66 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.25
Akhmat19%fair 5.33 · @5.25
2.92Expected goals
1.95FC Krasnodar xG
0.98Akhmat xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.9 – 1.0 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
60%
1.66
1.63
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.43
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WWDDWW
2 Aug
vs Fakel
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ Rubin
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Baltika
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–3
D
25 Jun
vs PSK Dinskaya
5–1
W
17 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
LDWDWD
2 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ IMT Novi Beograd
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Novi Pazar
1–1
D
29 Jun
vs Borac Banja Luka
3–1
W
17 May
@ FC Sochi
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Akhmat.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Akhmat 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fakel0
Dynamo1
Spartak Moscow5
FC Orenburg1
Zenit1
Baltika0