Value bet: Fakel to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo to win ✓47% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.35
Fakel vs Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Fakel take on Dynamo on Wednesday 5 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Fakel Stadium.
Form guide
Fakel's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to FC Krasnodar 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dynamo's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Baltika 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Fakel and 1.5 for Dynamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fakel 33%, draw 21%, Dynamo 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Fakel to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Fakel 1–1 Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel33%fair 3.07 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.66
Dynamo47%fair 2.13 · @1.99
2.77Expected goals
1.23Fakel xG
1.54Dynamo xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.2 – 1.5 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
47%
2.13
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.35
–
Form
Fakel – last 6
LLLDWD
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
LDWWWW
1 Aug
@ Baltika
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs CSKA Moscow
5–2
W
18 Jul
@ Akron
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs FC Orenburg
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Dynamo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Fakel vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Fakel have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Dynamo?
Fakel vs Dynamo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Spartak Moscow5
FC Orenburg1
FC Krasnodar1
Akhmat1
Zenit1
Baltika0