Championship · England · The Hawthorns

West Brom

DWDWW
3–0
FT

Millwall

LWLDL

West Brom vs Millwall prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Millwall to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultWest Brom to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Win chances

West Brom47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Millwall32%fair 3.17 · @3.60
2.86Expected goals
1.61West Brom xG
1.25Millwall xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: West Brom 1.6 – 1.2 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

West Brom hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 32% for Millwall.

West Brom have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Millwall have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. West Brom come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for West Brom, 1.2 for Millwall). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, West Brom have won 0, Millwall have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Millwall to win at 3.60 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWest Brom to win ✓47%2.112.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT West Brom / FT West Brom ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.79–

Form

West Brom – last 6

DWDWWL
3 Novvs Southampton1–1D
31 Oct@ West Ham3–1W
24 Oct@ Preston1–1D
17 Octvs Blackburn3–2W
13 Oct@ Wrexham2–1W
10 Octvs Birmingham0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Millwall – last 6

LWLDLW
3 Nov@ Birmingham0–3L
31 Octvs Derby4–1W
24 Oct@ Portsmouth1–2L
17 Octvs Lincoln2–2D
13 Octvs Swansea0–1L
10 Oct@ Preston1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026West Brom v Millwall0–0

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub →
FT Bristol City0 Norwich5 352442 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓ FT Portsmouth1 Stoke City2 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Wrexham1 Wolves1 312248 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Birmingham2 Swansea1 612513 1XBirmingham or draw 87%@1.22 ✓ FT Blackburn2 West Ham1 172261 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62 ✓ FT Cardiff5 Burnley4 651422 1Cardiff to win 65%@1.95 ✓ FT Charlton2 Sheffield Utd1 282250 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓ FT Preston1 Southampton0 112168 2Southampton to win 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs Millwall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?

On our numbers West Brom have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Millwall 32%.

How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Millwall?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is West Brom vs Millwall?

West Brom vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.