Championship · England · Deepdale

Preston

LLDLL
1–0
FT

Southampton

DWWDW

Preston vs Southampton prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Southampton to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouthampton to win ✗68% · @1.62
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✗89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.54

Win chances

Preston11%fair 8.73 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
Southampton68%fair 1.47 · @1.62
3.04Expected goals
0.83Preston xG
2.22Southampton xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%

From our goals model: Preston 0.8 – 2.2 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Southampton travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 11% for Preston.

Preston have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Southampton have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Southampton come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (0.8 for Preston, 2.2 for Southampton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Preston have won 0, Southampton have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Southampton to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthampton to win ✗68%1.471.62 ▲
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✗89%1.131.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Half-time resultSouthampton ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southampton / FT Southampton ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12%8.54–

Form

Preston – last 6

LLDLLL
3 Novvs Sheffield Utd2–3L
31 Oct@ Stoke City0–2L
24 Octvs West Brom1–1D
17 Oct@ Wrexham1–4L
13 Oct@ Birmingham0–4L
10 Octvs Millwall0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Southampton – last 6

DWWDWW
3 Nov@ West Brom1–1D
31 Octvs QPR4–1W
24 Oct@ West Ham3–2W
17 Octvs Bolton0–0D
14 Oct@ Norwich1–0W
11 Octvs Portsmouth1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Preston v Southampton1–3

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub →
FT Bristol City0 Norwich5 352442 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓ FT Portsmouth1 Stoke City2 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Wrexham1 Wolves1 312248 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Birmingham2 Swansea1 612513 1XBirmingham or draw 87%@1.22 ✓ FT Blackburn2 West Ham1 172261 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62 ✓ FT Cardiff5 Burnley4 651422 1Cardiff to win 65%@1.95 ✓ FT Charlton2 Sheffield Utd1 282250 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓ FT QPR2 Lincoln1 612514 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Southampton?

Our pick is Southampton to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

On our numbers Preston have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 68%.

How many goals will there be in Preston vs Southampton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Preston vs Southampton?

Preston vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.