Championship · England · Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff

DLWDW

5–4

Burnley

DDLLD

Cardiff vs Burnley prediction & analysis

65%

Footrivo pick

Cardiff to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCardiff to win ✓65% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Win chances

Cardiff65%fair 1.54 · @1.95

Draw14%fair 7.41 · @3.90

Burnley22%fair 4.61 · @3.40

3.23Expected goals

2.14Cardiff xG

1.09Burnley xG

64%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–19%

2–09%

1–08%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Cardiff 2.1 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cardiff are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 22% for Burnley.

Cardiff have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Burnley have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Cardiff, 1.1 for Burnley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).

Our pick is Cardiff to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cardiff to win ✓	65%	1.54	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	86%	1.16	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	1.67
Half-time result	Cardiff ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff ✗	40%	2.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.13	–

Form

Cardiff – last 6

DLWDWL

4 Nov	vs West Ham	3–3	D
31 Oct	@ Wolves	0–3	L
24 Oct	vs Birmingham	1–0	W
17 Oct	@ Middlesbrough	2–2	D
13 Oct	vs Watford	5–1	W
10 Oct	@ Blackburn	1–2	L

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Burnley – last 6

DDLLDW

3 Nov	@ QPR	1–1	D
31 Oct	vs Portsmouth	0–0	D
24 Oct	@ Lincoln	1–4	L
16 Oct	vs Wolves	1–2	L
13 Oct	vs Charlton	2–2	D
10 Oct	@ Watford	4–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Burnley.

Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

More Championship predictions

League hub →

Bristol City0

Norwich5 352442 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓ FT

Portsmouth1

Stoke City2 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Wrexham1

Wolves1 312248 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT

Birmingham2

Swansea1 612513 1XBirmingham or draw 87%@1.22 ✓ FT

Blackburn2

West Ham1 172261 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62 ✓ FT

Charlton2

Sheffield Utd1 282250 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓ FT

Preston1

Southampton0 112168 2Southampton to win 68%@1.62 ✗ FT

QPR2

Lincoln1 612514 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Burnley?

Our pick is Cardiff to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?

On our numbers Cardiff have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Burnley 22%.

How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Burnley?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Cardiff vs Burnley?

Cardiff vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.