Championship · England · Vicarage Road

Watford

WLLWL

0–0

Middlesbrough

LWWDW

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction & analysis

67%

Footrivo pick

Middlesbrough to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗67% · @1.50

Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.46

Win chances

Watford15%fair 6.83 · @6.00

Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.33

Middlesbrough67%fair 1.49 · @1.50

3.16Expected goals

0.93Watford xG

2.23Middlesbrough xG

59%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–211%

1–210%

0–19%

1–19%

0–38%

1–37%

From our goals model: Watford 0.9 – 2.2 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Middlesbrough travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 15% for Watford.

Watford have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Middlesbrough have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Middlesbrough come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.2 goals (0.9 for Watford, 2.2 for Middlesbrough). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Middlesbrough to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.49.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Middlesbrough to win ✗	67%	1.49	1.50
Double chance	Middlesbrough or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	1.67
Half-time result	Middlesbrough ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–2 ✗	11%	9.46	–

Form

Watford – last 6

WLLWLL

3 Nov	vs Lincoln	1–0	W
31 Oct	@ Norwich	2–3	L
24 Oct	@ Wolves	0–1	L
17 Oct	vs Charlton	2–0	W
13 Oct	@ Cardiff	1–5	L
10 Oct	vs Burnley	0–4	L

1.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough – last 6

LWWDWW

4 Nov	@ Wrexham	0–2	L
31 Oct	vs Charlton	3–0	W
23 Oct	@ Bolton	5–1	W
17 Oct	vs Cardiff	2–2	D
13 Oct	@ Stoke City	3–2	W
10 Oct	vs Wolves	1–0	W

2.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Watford and Middlesbrough.

Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

More Championship predictions

League hub →

Bristol City0

Norwich5 352442 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓ FT

Portsmouth1

Stoke City2 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Wrexham1

Wolves1 312248 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT

Birmingham2

Swansea1 612513 1XBirmingham or draw 87%@1.22 ✓ FT

Blackburn2

West Ham1 172261 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62 ✓ FT

Cardiff5

Burnley4 651422 1Cardiff to win 65%@1.95 ✓ FT

Charlton2

Sheffield Utd1 282250 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓ FT

Preston1

Southampton0 112168 2Southampton to win 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Watford vs Middlesbrough?

On our numbers Watford have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Middlesbrough 67%.

How many goals will there be in Watford vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Watford vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.