Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWrexham to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Wrexham vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Wrexham take on Burnley on Tuesday 8 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Racecourse Ground. Wrexham are 15th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Burnley sit 22nd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Wrexham's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Swansea 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Burnley's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Bristol City 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Wrexham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Wrexham and 1.1 for Burnley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wrexham 51%, draw 22%, Burnley 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Wrexham 1–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wrexham51%fair 1.96 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Burnley27%fair 3.66 · @3.50
2.80Expected goals
1.66Wrexham xG
1.14Burnley xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.7 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wrexham to win✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wrexham / FT Wrexham✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.89
–
Form
Wrexham – last 6
DWLDDL
5 Sep
@ Swansea
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Millwall
3–0
W
28 Aug
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Watford
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDLDLD
5 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Norwich
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Bradford
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ West Brom
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs West Ham
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Burnley.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Wrexham vs Burnley?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burnley 27%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
