Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff to win ✗43% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Cardiff vs Stoke City preview and prediction
The match
Stoke City travel to Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT) to face Cardiff. Cardiff are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Stoke City sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cardiff's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Portsmouth 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stoke City's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Charlton 4–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Stoke City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Cardiff and 1.5 for Stoke City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff 43%, draw 22%, Stoke City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff43%fair 2.34 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Stoke City35%fair 2.84 · @2.96
3.15Expected goals
1.66Cardiff xG
1.49Stoke City xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.7 – 1.5 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
43%
2.34
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Cardiff – last 6
LLDLDD
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWLDLL
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Stoke City.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stoke City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Stoke City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Stoke City?
Cardiff vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
