Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQPR to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.52
QPR vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
QPR host Cardiff in the Championship on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Loftus Road. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
QPR's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Blackburn 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Cardiff's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Sheffield Utd 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
QPR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for QPR and 1.0 for Cardiff. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: QPR 61%, draw 15%, Cardiff 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: QPR to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: QPR 1–1 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @3.75
Cardiff23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.88QPR xG
1.00Cardiff xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: QPR 1.9 – 1.0 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✓
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.52
–
Form
QPR – last 6
WDWDWW
29 Aug
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Bolton
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Portsmouth
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
DLDDWW
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Swindon Town
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs AS Roma
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Cardiff.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win QPR vs Cardiff?
On our numbers QPR have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cardiff 23%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Cardiff?
QPR vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
