Millwall host Wrexham in the Championship on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Den. Millwall are 16th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Wrexham sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Millwall's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Southampton 1–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wrexham's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Birmingham 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Millwall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Millwall and 1.3 for Wrexham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millwall 46%, draw 22%, Wrexham 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Millwall 1–1 Wrexham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millwall46%fair 2.18 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Wrexham32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.82Expected goals
1.56Millwall xG
1.26Wrexham xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.6 – 1.3 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
46%
2.18
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.72
–
Form
Millwall – last 6
LWWWDW
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
25 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Norwich
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bristol City
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ QPR
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wrexham – last 6
LDDLLL
28 Aug
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Watford
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Liverpool
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Wrexham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Millwall vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Millwall have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wrexham 32%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Wrexham?
Millwall vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
