Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win63% · @1.56
Double chanceZenit or draw86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.22
Rubin vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
Zenit travel to Ak Bars Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (15:30 WAT) to face Rubin. Rubin are 8th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rubin's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Zenit's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with FC Rostov 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Rubin and 1.8 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubin 14%, draw 23%, Zenit 63%.
Safer route: Zenit or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.98 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Rubin 0–2 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin14%fair 7.26 · @6.15
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.20
Zenit63%fair 1.59 · @1.56
2.69Expected goals
0.87Rubin xG
1.82Zenit xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rubin 0.9 – 1.8 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Rubin
Zenit
Attack vs Premier League average
-19%
+49%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.70
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win
63%
1.59
1.56
Double chance
Zenit or draw
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.98 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.22
–
Form
Rubin – last 6
WWLLLL
6 Nov
@ Lokomotiv
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Fakel
1–0
W
28 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–4
L
15 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
DWWWWW
8 Nov
vs FC Rostov
2–2
D
2 Nov
@ Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
29 Oct
@ Baltika
3–2
W
25 Oct
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Akhmat
3–2
W
14 Oct
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Zenit.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rubin vs Zenit?
On our numbers Rubin have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zenit 63%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Rubin 0–2 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Zenit?
Rubin vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
