The Premier League sees FC Orenburg take on Baltika on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Gazovik Stadium. FC Orenburg are 10th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Orenburg's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Krylia Sovetov 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Orenburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for FC Orenburg and 1.0 for Baltika. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Orenburg 35%, draw 30%, Baltika 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.63. Predicted score: FC Orenburg 1–1 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Orenburg35%fair 2.87 · @2.88
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @3.28
Baltika36%fair 2.81 · @2.57
2.06Expected goals
1.04FC Orenburg xG
1.02Baltika xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: FC Orenburg 1.0 – 1.0 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
FC Orenburg
Baltika
Attack vs Premier League average
-23%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-16%
Our expected goals here
0.91
0.87
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win
36%
2.81
2.57
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
14.53
–
Form
FC Orenburg – last 6
LDWWDW
8 Nov
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
1 Nov
vs CSKA Moscow
0–0
D
28 Oct
vs Rodina Moskva
2–1
W
23 Oct
@ Akhmat
1–0
W
19 Oct
@ Rodina Moskva
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ Rubin
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 6
LWLDDW
8 Nov
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
0–1
L
1 Nov
vs Akron
2–1
W
29 Oct
vs Zenit
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs FC Rostov
0–0
D
14 Oct
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Orenburg and Baltika.
What is the prediction for FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
On our numbers FC Orenburg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Baltika 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is FC Orenburg 1–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
FC Orenburg vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
