Value bet: Akron to win @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkron to win50% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.27
Akron vs Fakel preview and prediction
The match
Fakel travel to Samara Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (13:15 WAT) to face Akron. Akron are 14th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Fakel sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Akron's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Dynamo 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Akron 1–1 Fakel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Akron and 1.0 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akron 50%, draw 24%, Fakel 26%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Akron to win at 2.14 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Akron 1–0 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron50%fair 2.00 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.42
Fakel26%fair 3.90 · @3.54
2.57Expected goals
1.57Akron xG
0.99Fakel xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Akron 1.6 – 1.0 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Akron
Fakel
Attack vs Premier League average
-1%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.98
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Akron vs Fakel?
On our numbers Akron have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fakel 26%.
How many goals will there be in Akron vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Akron 1–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akron vs Fakel?
Akron vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
