Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Standard Liege vs Charleroi preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees Standard Liege take on Charleroi on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Maurice Dufrasne. Standard Liege are 8th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Charleroi sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Standard Liege's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Gent 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Charleroi's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Cercle Brugge 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Charleroi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Standard Liege and 1.8 for Charleroi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Standard Liege 33%, draw 22%, Charleroi 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Standard Liege 1–1 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Standard Liege33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Charleroi45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
3.36Expected goals
1.54Standard Liege xG
1.82Charleroi xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Standard Liege 1.5 – 1.8 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
45%
2.23
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Standard Liege – last 6
LLWWWD
18 Sep
@ Gent
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ KVC Westerlo
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ OH Leuven
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ KV Mechelen
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WWLWWW
19 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Zulte Waregem
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kortrijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and Charleroi.
What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Standard Liege have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charleroi 45%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Standard Liege 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Standard Liege vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Maurice Dufrasne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
