Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Bytom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Polonia Bytom to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chancePolonia Bytom or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Polonia Bytom take on Chrobry Głogów on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8. Polonia Bytom are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Chrobry Głogów sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Polonia Bytom's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Puszcza Niepołomice 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chrobry Głogów's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Polonia Bytom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Polonia Bytom and 0.8 for Chrobry Głogów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Polonia Bytom to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Bytom or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Polonia Bytom 1–0 Chrobry Głogów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Bytom64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Chrobry Głogów13%fair 7.61 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.97Polonia Bytom xG
0.78Chrobry Głogów xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 2.0 – 0.8 Chrobry Głogów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Bytom or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Polonia Bytom ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Polonia Bytom – last 6
WLDWDD
11 Oct
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
2 Oct
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Ruch Chorzów
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Widzew II
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Polonia Warszawa
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Podbeskidzie
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chrobry Głogów – last 6
LLLDDW
10 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Polonia Warszawa
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Pogoń Siedlce
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our pick is Polonia Bytom or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chrobry Głogów 13%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 1–0 Chrobry Głogów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
