Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Miedz Legnica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiedz Legnica to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceMiedz Legnica or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Miedz Legnica take on Stal Mielec on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Miedz Legnica are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Miedz Legnica's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Odra Opole 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Stal Mielec's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Warta Poznań 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Stal Mielec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Miedz Legnica and 1.0 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miedz Legnica 64%, draw 24%, Stal Mielec 12%.
Safer route: Miedz Legnica or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Miedz Legnica or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Miedz Legnica 2–0 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miedz Legnica64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.80
Stal Mielec12%fair 8.47 · @4.20
3.20Expected goals
2.25Miedz Legnica xG
0.95Stal Mielec xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Miedz Legnica 2.2 – 1.0 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miedz Legnica to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Miedz Legnica or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Miedz Legnica ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miedz Legnica / FT Miedz Legnica✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Miedz Legnica – last 6
LLLLDL
11 Oct
@ Odra Opole
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Stal Rzeszów
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 6
WLLDDL
11 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–7
L
14 Sep
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Odra Opole
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Górnik Łęczna
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miedz Legnica and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Miedz Legnica or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Miedz Legnica have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stal Mielec 12%.
How many goals will there be in Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Miedz Legnica 2–0 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
