Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ruch Chorzów to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNieciecza to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Nieciecza take on Ruch Chorzów on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. Nieciecza are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ruch Chorzów sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Busko-Zdroj 1–6 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ruch Chorzów's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Karviná 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nieciecza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Nieciecza and 1.4 for Ruch Chorzów. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nieciecza 44%, draw 20%, Ruch Chorzów 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Ruch Chorzów to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Ruch Chorzów36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.57Nieciecza xG
1.38Ruch Chorzów xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.6 – 1.4 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nieciecza to win✓
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 6
LDWWWW
25 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–6
L
18 Jul
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Korona Kielce
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Wisla Krakow
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
LLWLWW
18 Jul
@ Karviná
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Wieczysta Kraków
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–3
L
17 May
@ Miedz Legnica
2–1
W
10 May
@ Tychy 71
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ruch Chorzów 36%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
