Value bet: Puszcza Niepołomice to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuszcza Niepołomice to win ✗46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa travel to face Puszcza Niepołomice in the I Liga on Sunday 26 July (18:30 WAT). Puszcza Niepołomice are 16th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Polonia Warszawa sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Puszcza Niepołomice's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Jarosław 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Puszcza Niepołomice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Puszcza Niepołomice 2–1 Polonia Warszawa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.2 for Polonia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puszcza Niepołomice 46%, draw 21%, Polonia Warszawa 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Puszcza Niepołomice to win at 2.35 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puszcza Niepołomice46%fair 2.16 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Polonia Warszawa33%fair 3.06 · @2.70
2.60Expected goals
1.45Puszcza Niepołomice xG
1.16Polonia Warszawa xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Puszcza Niepołomice 1.4 – 1.2 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Puszcza Niepołomice have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polonia Warszawa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
