Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Unia Skierniewice or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 53% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.50
Double chanceUnia Skierniewice or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
Stal Mielec travel to Stadion Miejski in the I Liga on Sunday 26 July (16:00 WAT) to face Unia Skierniewice. Unia Skierniewice are 17th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Unia Skierniewice's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Kalisz 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Stal Mielec's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Puszcza Niepołomice 1–4 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Unia Skierniewice and 1.4 for Stal Mielec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unia Skierniewice 28%, draw 53%, Stal Mielec 19%.
Safer route: Unia Skierniewice or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 53% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Unia Skierniewice or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unia Skierniewice28%fair 3.58 · @2.05
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.50
Stal Mielec19%fair 5.30 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.58Unia Skierniewice xG
1.37Stal Mielec xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Unia Skierniewice 1.6 – 1.4 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.88
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Unia Skierniewice or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unia Skierniewice / FT Unia Skierniewice✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
Unia Skierniewice – last 6
WDLWLL
18 Jul
vs Kalisz
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Pogoń Siedlce
3–0
W
30 May
@ Kalisz
1–2
L
22 May
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 6
LWLWLW
11 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1–5
L
24 May
vs Polonia Bytom
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unia Skierniewice and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Unia Skierniewice or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Unia Skierniewice have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Stal Mielec 19%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec?
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
