Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City preview and prediction
The match
Kelty Hearts host Edinburgh City in the League Two on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at New Central Park. Kelty Hearts are 5th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Edinburgh City sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kelty Hearts's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Clyde 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Edinburgh City's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Stirling Albion 7–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.0 for Kelty Hearts and 2.0 for Edinburgh City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kelty Hearts 37%, draw 24%, Edinburgh City 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kelty Hearts 1–1 Edinburgh City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kelty Hearts37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Edinburgh City39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
3.93Expected goals
1.95Kelty Hearts xG
1.98Edinburgh City xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 2.0 – 2.0 Edinburgh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Edinburgh City to win✓
39%
2.59
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
34%
2.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Edinburgh City / FT Edinburgh City✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.32
–
Form
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LWWLLW
12 Sep
@ Clyde
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Cumbernauld Colts
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Annan Athletic
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Stranraer
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Clydebank
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Dumbarton
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Edinburgh City – last 6
WDLDWW
12 Sep
vs Stirling Albion
7–3
W
8 Sep
vs Queen of the South
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Clyde
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Forfar Athletic
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Annan Athletic
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Edinburgh City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 1–1 Edinburgh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?
Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
