League Two · Scotland · Dumbarton Football StadiumDumbarton vs Spartans prediction & analysis
Spartans to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.2 – 2.3 Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spartans travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 22% for Dumbarton.
Dumbarton have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8 per game. Spartans have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Spartans come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for Dumbarton, 2.3 for Spartans). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Spartans to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spartans to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time result | Spartans ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spartans / FT Spartans ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.54 | – |
Form
Dumbarton – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Stranraer | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Cove Rangers | 1–6 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Elgin City | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Annan Athletic | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Celtic II | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Kelty Hearts | 1–3 | L |
Spartans – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Forfar Athletic | 5–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Hamilton Academical | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Stirling Albion | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Clyde | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Hearts U21 | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Elgin City | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Spartans.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stranraer | 13 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  Clyde | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Elgin City | 13 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Spartans | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 13 | -5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Dumbarton | 13 | -5 | 16 |
| 7 |  Edinburgh City | 13 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Stirling Albion | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 9 |  Forfar Athletic | 13 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 |  Annan Athletic | 13 | -12 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Spartans?
Our pick is Spartans to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Spartans?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Spartans 66%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Spartans?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Dumbarton vs Spartans?
Dumbarton vs Spartans (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.