Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultElgin City to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Elgin City vs Stranraer preview and prediction
The match
Stranraer travel to Borough Briggs in the League Two on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT) to face Elgin City. Elgin City are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Stranraer sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Elgin City's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Annan Athletic 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stranraer's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dumbarton 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Elgin City and 1.5 for Stranraer. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elgin City 44%, draw 22%, Stranraer 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Stranraer to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elgin City 1–1 Stranraer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elgin City44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Stranraer34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
3.29Expected goals
1.77Elgin City xG
1.52Stranraer xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Elgin City 1.8 – 1.5 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Form
Elgin City – last 6
LWLWWD
12 Sep
@ Annan Athletic
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Fraserburgh
7–0
W
5 Sep
@ Dumbarton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
4–0
W
25 Aug
@ Clachnacuddin
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Spartans
3–3
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stranraer – last 6
WWLWWD
12 Sep
vs Dumbarton
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Forfar Athletic
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Celtic II
3–4
L
29 Aug
vs Kelty Hearts
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Stranraer.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Elgin City vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stranraer 34%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Stranraer?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Stranraer?
Elgin City vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
