Value bet: Aston Villa to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTottenham to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Tottenham vs Aston Villa preview and prediction
The match
Aston Villa travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September (12:30 WAT) to face Tottenham. Tottenham are 11th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Aston Villa sit 10th on 13 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tottenham's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Liverpool 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Aston Villa's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Coventry 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Tottenham and 0.7 for Aston Villa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tottenham 44%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Aston Villa to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Tottenham 1–1 Aston Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tottenham44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Aston Villa35%fair 2.86 · @3.50
1.63Expected goals
0.90Tottenham xG
0.73Aston Villa xG
52%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tottenham 0.9 – 0.7 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tottenham to win✗
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
Tottenham – last 6
LDDLWL
15 Sep
@ Liverpool
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Everton
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Newcastle
0–2
L
26 Aug
vs Charlton
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Brentford
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
WLWDLL
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Brighton
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Tottenham have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Tottenham 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Tottenham vs Aston Villa (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
