Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceNewcastle or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Newcastle vs Hull City preview and prediction
The match
Hull City travel to St James' Park in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT) to face Newcastle. Newcastle are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Hull City sit 13th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Leeds 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hull City's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Chelsea 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Newcastle and 0.8 for Hull City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newcastle 62%, draw 22%, Hull City 16%.
Safer route: Newcastle or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newcastle to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–0 Hull City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.20
Hull City16%fair 6.32 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.90Newcastle xG
0.85Hull City xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.9 – 0.8 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Newcastle or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Newcastle ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✓
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.22
–
Form
Newcastle – last 6
LWDWWD
14 Sep
@ Leeds
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Millwall
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bournemouth
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Tottenham
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hull City – last 6
DLDWDW
12 Sep
@ Chelsea
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Aston Villa
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Coventry
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Hull City.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Our pick is Newcastle to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Newcastle vs Hull City?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hull City 16%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Hull City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Hull City?
Newcastle vs Hull City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
