Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Everton to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEverton to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEverton or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Everton vs Ipswich preview and prediction
The match
Ipswich travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT) to face Everton. Everton are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Ipswich sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Everton's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Wolves 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ipswich's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Arsenal 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Everton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Everton and 1.0 for Ipswich. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Everton 59%, draw 25%, Ipswich 16%.
Safer route: Everton or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Everton to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Everton or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Everton 2–1 Ipswich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Everton59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Ipswich16%fair 6.14 · @4.00
3.13Expected goals
2.08Everton xG
1.05Ipswich xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Everton 2.1 – 1.0 Ipswich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✓
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Everton or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Everton ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Everton – last 6
WDDDWW
16 Sep
vs Wolves
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Tottenham
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Preston
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Crystal Palace
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ipswich – last 6
LWLLWW
15 Sep
vs Arsenal
2–4
L
12 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs Liverpool
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Manchester United
2–5
L
25 Aug
vs Leicester
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Sunderland
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Ipswich.
Our pick is Everton or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Everton vs Ipswich?
On our numbers Everton have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ipswich 16%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Ipswich?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Ipswich?
Our predicted score is Everton 2–1 Ipswich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Ipswich?
Everton vs Ipswich (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
