Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.28
Sunderland vs Arsenal preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal travel to Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September (20:00 WAT) to face Sunderland. Sunderland are 19th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Hull City 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Napoli 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.5 for Sunderland and 1.7 for Arsenal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunderland 11%, draw 24%, Arsenal 66%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arsenal to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland11%fair 9.17 · @6.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.00
Arsenal66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
2.17Expected goals
0.51Sunderland xG
1.66Arsenal xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sunderland 0.5 – 1.7 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.28
–
Form
Sunderland – last 6
WDWLWW
8 Sep
vs Hull City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brentford
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fulham
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rennes
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Lens
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWWWWD
9 Sep
@ Napoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Chelsea
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Aston Villa
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs Coventry
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Arsenal.
Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Sunderland vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
