Premier League · England · Vitality StadiumBournemouth vs Brentford prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.62 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.2 – 1.5 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brentford shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 33% for Bournemouth.
Bournemouth have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Brentford have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 3.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Brentford come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Bournemouth, 1.5 for Brentford). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bournemouth have won 0, Brentford have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, Brentford to win at 2.62 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brentford to win ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brentford / FT Brentford ✗ | 26% | 3.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.83 | – |
Form
Bournemouth – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Lincoln | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Newcastle | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Everton | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Manchester City | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Real Betis | 2–2 | D |
Brentford – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Sunderland | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Leeds | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Birmingham | 6–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Tottenham | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 7–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Rennes | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
| 3 Mar 2026 | Bournemouth v Brentford | 0–0 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Brentford?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brentford 46%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.