Value bet: Nottingham Forest to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest preview and prediction
The match
Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Villa Park. Aston Villa are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Club Brugge KV 3–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nottingham Forest's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Tottenham 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nottingham Forest arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest. Across their last 2 meetings Aston Villa have won 1, Nottingham Forest 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Aston Villa and 0.8 for Nottingham Forest. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 44%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Nottingham Forest to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aston Villa 0–0 Nottingham Forest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.25
Nottingham Forest34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
1.67Expected goals
0.92Aston Villa xG
0.75Nottingham Forest xG
49%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 0.9 – 0.8 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nottingham Forest 34%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 0–0 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
