Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Fulham to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFulham to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Sunderland vs Fulham preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland host Fulham in the Premier League on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 19th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Fulham sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Ipswich 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fulham's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat AFC Wimbledon 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Sunderland 1–3 Fulham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for Sunderland and 2.1 for Fulham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fulham to win at 2.90 – 42% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sunderland 1–2 Fulham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland34%fair 2.92 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Fulham42%fair 2.40 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.90Sunderland xG
2.10Fulham xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.9 – 2.1 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fulham 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Fulham?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–2 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
