Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrentford to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Leeds vs Brentford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Leeds take on Brentford on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Elland Road. Leeds are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Brentford sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leeds's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Nottingham Forest 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brentford's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Birmingham 6–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Leeds and 1.0 for Brentford. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leeds 36%, draw 24%, Brentford 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Brentford to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Leeds 1–1 Brentford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leeds36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.25
Brentford40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.96Leeds xG
1.04Brentford xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leeds 1.0 – 1.0 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Leeds – last 6
WWWDWW
25 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs FC Augsburg
4–0
W
12 Aug
vs Manchester United
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs RB Leipzig
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Liverpool
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 6
WWWWDD
25 Aug
@ Birmingham
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Tottenham
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
7–0
W
8 Aug
@ Rennes
4–2
W
24 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
17 May
vs Crystal Palace
2–2
D
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leeds and Brentford.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leeds vs Brentford?
On our numbers Leeds have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brentford 40%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Leeds 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Leeds vs Brentford?
Leeds vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
