Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortugal W to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chancePortugal W or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W preview and prediction
The match
Portugal W travel to Inver Park in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT) to face Northern Ireland W.
Form guide
Northern Ireland W's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Switzerland W 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Portugal W's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Finland W 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portugal W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Northern Ireland W and 2.5 for Portugal W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Northern Ireland W 10%, draw 18%, Portugal W 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portugal W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Northern Ireland W 0–2 Portugal W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northern Ireland W10%fair 9.78 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.60
Portugal W72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
3.33Expected goals
0.86Northern Ireland W xG
2.47Portugal W xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–19%
1–38%
1–18%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland W 0.9 – 2.5 Portugal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Portugal W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Portugal W ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal W / FT Portugal W✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
Northern Ireland W – last 4
LLWL
9 Jun
vs Switzerland W
1–2
L
5 Jun
@ Turkey W
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Malta W
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Switzerland W
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Portugal W – last 4
LWWW
9 Jun
@ Finland W
1–3
L
5 Jun
vs Latvia W
5–0
W
14 Apr
@ Latvia W
3–0
W
3 Mar
vs Finland W
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland W and Portugal W.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W?
Our pick is Portugal W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W?
On our numbers Northern Ireland W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Portugal W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland W 0–2 Portugal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W?
Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.