Belarus W host Italy W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Form guide
Belarus W's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Armenia W 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Italy W's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Sweden W 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belarus W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Belarus W and 2.0 for Italy W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Belarus W 11%, draw 19%, Italy W 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Belarus W 1–2 Italy W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belarus W11%fair 9.11 · @21.00
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @9.50
Italy W70%fair 1.42 · @1.08
2.70Expected goals
0.65Belarus W xG
2.05Italy W xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Belarus W 0.7 – 2.0 Italy W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy W to win✓
70%
1.42
1.08
Double chance
Italy W or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Italy W ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy W / FT Italy W✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Belarus W – last 3
WWW
9 Jun
vs Armenia W
6–0
W
14 Apr
@ Armenia W
3–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kazakhstan W
1–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Italy W – last 4
DWWL
9 Jun
@ Sweden W
2–2
D
5 Jun
vs Serbia W
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Serbia W
6–0
W
3 Mar
vs Sweden W
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belarus W and Italy W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Belarus W vs Italy W?
On our numbers Belarus W have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Italy W 70%.
How many goals will there be in Belarus W vs Italy W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belarus W vs Italy W?
Our predicted score is Belarus W 1–2 Italy W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Belarus W vs Italy W?
Belarus W vs Italy W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.