Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium W to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceBelgium W or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Belgium W vs Poland W preview and prediction
The match
Belgium W host Poland W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Den Dreef.
Form guide
Belgium W's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Luxembourg W 7–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 4.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Poland W's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Netherlands W 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Belgium W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Belgium W and 1.3 for Poland W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Belgium W 57%, draw 25%, Poland W 19%.
Safer route: Belgium W or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Belgium W or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Belgium W 2–1 Poland W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belgium W57%fair 1.77 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
Poland W19%fair 5.36 · @3.60
3.67Expected goals
2.32Belgium W xG
1.35Poland W xG
64%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Belgium W 2.3 – 1.3 Poland W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium W to win✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Double chance
Belgium W or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Belgium W ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium W / FT Belgium W✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Belgium W – last 4
WWDW
9 Jun
@ Luxembourg W
7–0
W
5 Jun
vs Luxembourg W
6–0
W
14 Apr
@ Scotland W
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Israel W
3–0
W
4.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Poland W – last 4
LLLD
9 Jun
@ Netherlands W
1–3
L
5 Jun
vs France W
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Republic of Ireland
2–3
L
3 Mar
vs Netherlands W
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium W and Poland W.
Our pick is Belgium W or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Belgium W vs Poland W?
On our numbers Belgium W have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Poland W 19%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium W vs Poland W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium W vs Poland W?
Our predicted score is Belgium W 2–1 Poland W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Belgium W vs Poland W?
Belgium W vs Poland W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Den Dreef.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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