Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Queen of the South host Alloa Athletic in the League One on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Palmerston Park. Queen of the South are 8th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Alloa Athletic sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Queen of the South's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Cumbernauld Colts 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Alloa Athletic's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Montrose 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Queen of the South and 1.3 for Alloa Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Queen of the South 37%, draw 23%, Alloa Athletic 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Queen of the South 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Queen of the South37%fair 2.74 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Alloa Athletic40%fair 2.47 · @2.45
2.47Expected goals
1.20Queen of the South xG
1.28Alloa Athletic xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Queen of the South 1.2 – 1.3 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
40%
2.47
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Queen of the South – last 6
WLLLLW
11 Aug
vs Cumbernauld Colts
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Peterhead
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ East Kilbride
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Queen's Park
1–3
L
22 Jul
vs Aberdeen
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Brora Rangers
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alloa Athletic – last 6
WWLDLD
15 Aug
vs Montrose
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs East Fife
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queen of the South and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Queen of the South have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alloa Athletic 40%.
How many goals will there be in Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Queen of the South 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Palmerston Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
