Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Kilbride to win ✗64% · @1.60
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Montrose vs East Kilbride preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Montrose take on East Kilbride on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Links Park. Montrose are 4th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top four), while East Kilbride sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Montrose's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Alloa Athletic 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
East Kilbride's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Cove Rangers 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
East Kilbride arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Montrose and 2.3 for East Kilbride. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montrose 18%, draw 18%, East Kilbride 64%.
Safer route: East Kilbride or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was East Kilbride to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montrose 1–2 East Kilbride. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montrose18%fair 5.59 · @4.33
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.10
East Kilbride64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
3.45Expected goals
1.14Montrose xG
2.31East Kilbride xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Montrose 1.1 – 2.3 East Kilbride expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Kilbride to win✗
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
East Kilbride or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Half-time result
East Kilbride ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Montrose – last 6
LWLLLW
15 Aug
@ Alloa Athletic
0–3
L
11 Aug
vs Fraserburgh
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ross County
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Hamilton Academical
0–5
L
25 Jul
vs Spartans
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Arbroath
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
East Kilbride – last 6
WWDWLW
15 Aug
vs Cove Rangers
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Kilmarnock II
5–3
W
8 Aug
@ Airdrie United
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Queen of the South
5–1
W
21 Jul
@ ST Mirren
3–4
L
18 Jul
vs Dumbarton
5–3
W
3.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montrose and East Kilbride.
What is the prediction for Montrose vs East Kilbride?
Our pick is East Kilbride to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Montrose vs East Kilbride?
On our numbers Montrose have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and East Kilbride 64%.
How many goals will there be in Montrose vs East Kilbride?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montrose vs East Kilbride?
Our predicted score is Montrose 1–2 East Kilbride, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Montrose vs East Kilbride?
Montrose vs East Kilbride (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Links Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
