East Fife vs Hamilton Academical prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Hamilton Academical or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamilton Academical to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.36
East Fife vs Hamilton Academical preview and prediction
The match
Hamilton Academical travel to MGM Timber Bayview Stadium in the League One on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT) to face East Fife. East Fife are 6th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Hamilton Academical sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
East Fife's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Peterhead 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hamilton Academical's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Airdrie United 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hamilton Academical arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Hamilton Academical 1–0 East Fife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for East Fife and 1.7 for Hamilton Academical. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: East Fife 17%, draw 24%, Hamilton Academical 59%.
Safer route: Hamilton Academical or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Hamilton Academical to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hamilton Academical or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: East Fife 0–1 Hamilton Academical. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
East Fife17%fair 5.98 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.35
Hamilton Academical59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
2.55Expected goals
0.81East Fife xG
1.74Hamilton Academical xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: East Fife 0.8 – 1.7 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
Our pick is Hamilton Academical or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
On our numbers East Fife have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hamilton Academical 59%.
How many goals will there be in East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
Our predicted score is East Fife 0–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
East Fife vs Hamilton Academical (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
